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Water For Our Thirsty World – Why So Much Waste

WATER FOR OUR THIRSTY WORLD: WHY SO MUCH WASTE?

By Allan W. Maynard, - May 2026

The United Nations (May 2026) has declared the dawn of an era of global water bankruptcy, as overuse and irreversible damage pushes many basins beyond recovery. Addressing how water is wasted or misused, is now urgent.


Water For Our Thirsty World - Why So Much Waste

Water for a Thirsty World:

I am a member of a small (21 homes) community water district on Salt Spring Island, BC. There is excellent cooperation among our members in terms of water conservation. Our target daily usage quota for each household, is 150 US gallons per day (or about 1100 gallons per week) but our actuals measured are considerably lower (about 60 gallons per day per house). The average North American daily usage is much more – 300 to 400 gallons per household (2100 to 2800 gallons per week). Our Salt Spring numbers make it clear that cooperation on water conservation works.

WATER FACTS WORTH KNOWING

Note re units – although I favour metric units, most available data in in US gallons. To covert to liters – multiply by 3.8.

  • 75% of the world’s surface is covered by water but 97% of that is salty. About 2% is locked up as snow or ice leaving less than 1% to grow our crops, cool our power plants and supply water for domestic use.
  • Of the world’s fresh (non-salt) water – 69.6% is frozen, 30.1% is beneath the ground and 1.2% is surface water (rivers, lakes, wetlands)
  • Over 70% of the fresh water supply is used for crop irrigation.
  • Over the past 70 years the world population has tripled but water use has increased six-fold.
  • Millions of the world’s poorest subsist on less than 5 gallons per day
Water For Our Thirsty World - Why So Much Waste

In sub-Sahara Africa, millions (mostly women) walk an average of over 3 miles a day to access water

  • Around 2 billion people around the world do not have access to clean and safe drinking water, and approximately 3.6 billion people – 46% of the world's population – lack adequate sanitation services
  • 50% of large lakes worldwide have lost water since the early 1990s (with 25% of humanity directly dependent on those lakes)
  • 70% of the major aquifers are showing long-term decline
  • 30% of the global glacier mass has been lost since 1970, with entire low- and mid-latitude mountain ranges expected to lose functional glaciers altogether within decades
  • In the American Southwest, the Colorado River and its reservoirs have become symbols of over-promised water (see photo)
Water For Our Thirsty World - Why So Much Waste

In North America  - lawns are the most irrigated “crop”

WATER IS PRECIOUS – THE DEGREE OF WASTE IS UNCONSCIONABLE

  • Approximately, 40% to 50% of the water used in agriculture and outdoor landscaping is lost due to poor irrigation practices.
  • Over 30% of treated drinking water is lost to leakages within the distribution systems, with some regions experiencing losses as high as 50%. In the U.S., about 6 billion gallons are lost daily – attributed mostly to aging infrastructure. The EU has comparable losses, but some countries (Germany and Denmark) have made major improvements with losses less than 10%. In Metro Vancouver – the loss due to leakage is estimated at 12 to 20%.
  • Our Salt Spring system has losses of less than 8% overall, due to careful management and effective leak detection.
  • Water is also dramatically overused in wasteful ways – long showers, inefficient appliances, old toilets, and outdoor use.
  • Outdoor water use accounts for nearly 30% of total household water consumption in North America, with the vast majority used for irrigation of lawns Our so called “beautiful lawns” are total water hogs – the most irrigated crop in North America.
  • Food waste is a hidden source of water waste. Food requires huge amounts of water to produce. One pound of beef – 2000 gallons, nuts 900 gallons, rice 250 gallons, one cheese sandwich 56 gallons.

INDUSTRIAL USE – NEEDS MORE REGULATION

Industries also require enormous amounts of water. A few examples.

  • The clothing industry is the second largest consumer of water worldwide (after agriculture. For example, it takes 2000 gallons of water to create one pair of jeans / 750 gallons for one T-shirt/ 5000 gallons to make one kg of cotton. As well, the fashion industry is responsible for 20% of all industrial water pollution 
  • Large data centers can consume up to 5 million gallons per day, equivalent to the water use of a town populated by 10,000 to 50,000 people. With larger and new AI-focused data centers, water consumption is increasing, alongside energy usage and carbon emissions. In the USA alone there are over 5000 data centers as of 2025.
  • The entire global cryptocurrency network annually consumes over around 500 billion gallons of water.  A single Bitcoin transaction uses an estimated 4,000 gallons of water. That is enough to fill an entire backyard swimming pool or flush a household toilet over 4,300 times. Per Swipe: By comparison, a single traditional credit card swipe uses only a fraction of a milliliter of water, making crypto's footprint millions of times larger.

QUESTIONS AND CONSIDERATIONS

Policy Level - As is the case with most environmental and resource issues, the most impactful macro- solutions must come from government policies.  For instance, addressing the waste of drinking water within distribution systems requires homes to be metered to facilitate leak detection, followed by upgrades to distribution infrastructure. Having homes metered also allows corrective actions against overuse and even the implementation of tiered pricing such that homes pay extra-high prices for water use over mean target allowances.

With agriculture losses, changes to irrigation practises must be made and perhaps even subsidized given the low margins for many farmers.

Industrial use of water requires effective regulation, which is lacking in many regions, especially in developed countries. Unfortunately, the current USA administration is rolling back several environmental regulations worrying scientists across the spectrum of disciplines.

Individual Action - In terms of individual action, every little bit helps. Our small community water system on Salt Spring Island demonstrates what can be achieved by community cooperation and a conservation consciousness. Our bylaws prohibit watering lawns and washing cars. Several members collect rainwater over the winter to be used to outdoor use. Most homes have low flow toilets and shower heads, and these make a major difference. Our overall use per household is about 1/5th of the average North American usage.

Use Priorities -   As water systems around the world become more under duress, it will be important to ask about vital priorities. How important are data centers compared to farms growing food?  Is crypto currency necessary? Is fast fashion manufacturing (mostly in poorer countries) worth the risk to their already imperiled water supplies? Should golf courses and large resorts be built in desert areas such as the US Southwest one of the areas with definite water bankruptcy?

I conclude with a valuable quote -  “Water is life. It’s the briny broth of our origins, the pounding circulatory system of the world. We stake our civilizations on the coasts and mighty rivers. Our deepest dread is the threat of having too little – or too much”. (Barbara Kingsolver – National Geographic).

And Now For Some Good News To Start 2026

Misinformation - Science and truth be damned

Good News To Start 2026

NOW FOR SOME GOOD NEWS TO START 2026

Astounding advances in renewable energy – ‘almost free’ electricity. Can this be possible?

Allan Maynard, MSc. – January 2026

“Science” the peer-reviewed academic journal of the American Association for the Advancement of Science has named the advancement of renewable energy the science breakthrough of 2025.


After witnessing 2025, there is no doubt that we would welcome some good news. In terms of the climate, 2025 was one of the three hottest years on record despite the anticipated cooling from La Niña. It was also the first time that the three-year temperature average broke through the threshold set in the 2015 Paris Agreement of limiting the mean global warming to no more than 1.5 C since preindustrial times. It was another year when people around the world were slammed by the dangerous extremes brought on by a warming planet. Backwards policies in the USA and several “petro-states” will not alter these realities. Despite the enormous challenges, it is clearly imperative that the world accelerates the transition away from fossil fuels.

So yes – some good news is welcome. The renewables revolution is THE BRIGHT SPOT. This good news can be overlooked because it’s incremental, technical, economic, and dispersed. In my view, the major milestones don’t receive nearly the recognition they deserve.

RENEWABLE ENERGY IS MUCH MORE ENERGY EFFICIENT

It is now widely understood that fossil fuel is a wasteful, politically unstable and poisonous way to produce energy – whether that be to heat a home or power a vehicle. Fossil fuel energy must be extracted in some way, stored, transported (ships, trains, trucks, pipelines), refined, and finally the refined product shipped again. Overall (on average) only about 35% of the energy first mined becomes useable energy to generate heat, motion or electricity. Almost 70% is lost before it ever reaches a consumer. https://rmi.org/the-incredible-inefficiency-of-the-fossil-energy-system/

This is a definite negative factor for heavy oil from Alberta (and YES - from Venezuela) as the initial extraction process is highly energy intensive.

Another example - Electric Vehicles (EVs) are significantly more efficient at converting energy to motion than gasoline cars. Electric motors achieive 70-90% efficiency compared to the overall efficiency of internal combustion engines which lose 70-80%, of the energy as heat.  - https://eleport.com/ev-vs-ice-comparison/

 

THE SMART MONEY – RENEWABLES ARE BEATING OUT FOSSIL FUELS

Over the past 5 years about twice as much was invested in renewables, and electrification, compared to oil, natural gas and coal.  Since the year 2000, investments in renewables increased 10-fold -  IEA’s World Energy Investment report

When the Paris treaty was signed (2015), renewables were considerably more expensive than fossil fuels and were not widely implemented. However, the drop in cost and spread of solar and wind has outstripped virtually all predictions. Even though the world continues to dawdle politically in its response to the climate crisis,  clean energy is booming, responsible for almost all new energy capacity

Solar energy is now widely considered the cheapest form of energy in the history of humankind. According to a recent study, solar energy is expected to become even cheaper in the coming years, with costs projected to fall by as much as 60% by 2030.

https://www.wtsenergy.com/solar-cheapest-energy-source-in-history-factor/#:~:text=As%20a%20result%20of%20these,much%20as%2060%25%20by%202030

Wind energy has also advanced in many significant ways, with a focus on bigger, more efficient turbines (taller towers, longer blades) for onshore use, rapid offshore growth that takes advantage of stronger winds, and other innovative concepts.  All of this is driven by falling costs, improved lighter materials and supportive infrastructure for better energy capture, and grid integration.

Energy storage is crucial to the success of renewable energy and has also seen amazing breakthroughs in recent years from innovations in battery chemistry and AI technology driven energy management. This allows the stabilisation of energy networks and the reduction of dependency on fossil fuels to ‘fill in” when there’s less wind or solar rays. An example – Finland has activated the world’s largest sand battery that can heat an entire town for a week in the winter.  https://polarnightenergy.com/news/worlds-largest-sand-battery-now-in-operation/

Good News To Start 2026

Good News To Start 2026

Here are only a few (of many) notable examples that demonstrate the reality of the achievements in renewable energy systems.

I wish it weren’t so, but Canada and the USA are somewhat behind in transitioning away from fossil fuels. The USA will especially fall behind due to the backwards politics of the day. Despite this, some states are making advances. Texas (wind), California (solar), and Washington (hydro) lead U.S. states in overall renewable energy generation. Canada (especially BC and Quebec) is blessed with abundant hydropower but has also undertaken some major wind and solar projects. - https://renewablesassociation.ca/news-release-canada-powers-ahead-clean-energy-transition-takes-centre-stage-at-electricity-transformation-canada-2025/

THE TRANSITION TO RENEWABLES IS INEVITABLE AND NECESSARY

As Rebecca Solnit (columnist from The Guardian has stated about this topic, ‘even cheap is a misnomer – wind and sun are free and inexhaustible.’   We need to invest in the technologies to harvest and distribute this energy, and many jurisdictions are on track to do just that. Challenges abound in achieving what needs to be done, but the advances of the past decade demonstrate how success can be greatly accelerated when properly supported through evidence led governance leading to effective private/public partnerships.

The obvious advantages need to be promoted more widely. Renewable energy is cleaner (in all ways), more affordable and more advantageous in terms of political stability by providing energy independence away from only a few fossil fuel rich countries and large corporations – some of which are predatory and untrustworthy.

Our warming world is an existential threat to humankind, so it is essential to phase out the use of polluting energy. It is good news to witness significant progress on this front. Let us hope that these advances accelerate even more, such that this good news will become even better news over the next decade.

Misinformation – Science and truth be damned

Misinformation - Science and truth be damned

Misinformation - Science and truth be damned

THE REAL ENEMY – MISINFORMATION: SCIENCE AND TRUTH BE DAMNED.

The Covid crisis provided a clear but tragic example on the dangers of neglecting truthful information. Climate change will continue to prove this point on a much greater and even more tragic scale. We must know what science tells us and heed factual warnings.

Allan Maynard, MSc. – January 2025

“Believe in truth. To abandon facts is to abandon freedom. If nothing is true, then no one can criticize power, because there is no basis upon which to do so. If nothing is true, then all is spectacle. The biggest wallet pays for the most blinding lights.”

― Timothy Snyder (Author and Historian) – “On Freedom”; “On Tyranny”

“If the Leader says of such and such an event, ‘It never happened’—well, it never happened. If he says that ‘two and two are five’—well, two and two are five. This prospect frightens me much more than bombs …” George Orwell – the essay “Looking Back on the Spanish War” (1943)

Post truth – defined as “relating to or denoting circumstances in which objective facts are less influential in shaping public opinion than appeals to emotion and personal belief” – entered into the Oxford English Dictionary in 2016 after the election of Donald Trump.

It is hard to not be completely discouraged. I have followed and embraced the need for science-based decision making, for over 50 years. I could never have imagined the storm of misinformation and outright lies, that we are witnessing today. Even concepts of truth have been hammered to death. The city of Los Angeles (LA) is facing an unpreceded crisis of a nature that was predicted decades ago. While some media outlets are communicating the truth that climate change is the predominant factor in such such disasters, the president elect, and the extreme right-wing media are using this devastation to finger point and foster misinformation while falsely denying the role of climate change. It clearly shows the way political polarization, misinformation and propaganda can increase the confusion that engulfs natural disasters at a time when reliable information is crucial. It is appalling.

Do facts even matter anymore? How can the hard truths of reality be communicated in a post truth world with such dogmatic and poisonous rhetoric enhanced by snippets of code designed to promote imagined threats and fears of ‘others’.  Miscommunication is designed to elevate emotion over logic to distract from the hard realities of the many highly complex issues the world is currently facing.  This continually places humanity in grave danger.

Misinformation - Science and truth be damned

Misinformation - Science and truth be damned

TRUTH DECAY 

The term “truth decay” has joined the post-truth lexicon that includes such now familiar phrases as “fake news” and “alternative facts”. And it’s not just fake news either: it’s also fake science (manufactured by climate change deniers and anti-vaxxers), fake history (promoted by Holocaust revisionists and white supremacists), fake citizens on Facebook and X (created by Russian trolls), and fake followers and “likes” on social media (generated by bots).

It becomes easy for political leaders to lie their way into office. The success of the Trump campaign was based on the ability to peddle a web of lies from a bully pulpit. This chronically untruthful man is the master of distraction. If he can, without evidence, convince millions of voters that he won the 2020 election and that the rioters that stormed the US Capitol were “peaceful patriots”, despite what millions witnessed from TV coverage with senators and representatives running for their lives, it then becomes easy to state that climate change science is a hoax. It becomes easy to deny his bungling of the Covid pandemic.

Politicians around the world have co-opted inconvenient knowledge and evidence-based realities into silly culture wars and attacks on personal freedoms. Experts become “global elites” or “socialist wackos”.  Knowledge that is inconvenient becomes “woke” and often mocked.

TURNING AWAY FROM EXPERTISE: LEARNING FROM COVID

I know – The Covid pandemic is now ‘old news’ but it provides a very stark lesson. Two very dark and challenging 2 years followed the discovery of Covid 19 in late 2019, with more than 14 million deaths worldwide. But it could have been worse. In an unprecedented time, several safe and effective vaccines were developed. The vaccines prevented an additional 20 million deaths according to a recent international review - https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/covid-19-vaccines-saved-estimated-20-million-lives-1-year By 2022 most countries resumed their lives without the fears of the past 2 years.

There was a very bad side to this story that was very hard to watch. Misinformation and disinformation spread faster than the virus itself. Even more egregious and dangerous was the embrace of some components of such anti-science claims by many political leaders. Donald Trump was one of the most vocal of all world leaders in this anti-science rhetoric.

We can now refer to mountains of evidence that clearly prove that jurisdictions (countries, individual states, cities, counties, etc.) that did NOT properly heed the advice from infections disease specialists recorded excessive mortality rates – for reference see data at the end of this article – numbers don’t lie). It was especially egregious in the USA, resulting in the country having the highest mortality rate among peer western democracies.  Between 118,000 and 248,000 more Americans would have survived the pandemic if all states had followed proper restrictions and vaccination ratesaccording to findings recently published in the Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA). That is 40 to 83 times higher than the death toll from 911. A quote from the New England Medical Journal - “This crisis has produced a test of leadership. Here in the United States, our leaders have failed that test. They have taken a crisis and turned it into a tragedy. The report also stated that “the magnitude of U.S. leaders' coronavirus failure is astonishing

This tragic outcome should have been a central message over the past 4 years. Trump was in charge, and he failed very badly. Many believe this should have been an impeachable offense. But how can this failure be properly communicated in a post truth era when our information universe has become so fractured with lies outcompeting truth and thereby obfuscating realities?

Misinformation - Science and truth be damned

Misinformation - Science and truth be damned

SOCIAL MEDIA – IS NOT JOURNALISM

Social media is the head of the snake in the spread of false information. Technology doesn’t just spread lies but profits greatly from them. Multiple studies have clearly shown that social media platforms were greatly complicit in the politicization of the pandemic especially by increasing vaccine hesitancy around the world and fostering anger at precautions such as masking – one of many such studies - https://www.jmir.org/2022/2/e35552/

It was not just social media. There are now several studies showing the harmful coverage of Fox News which is the most watched cable news outlet in the USA.  Fox repeatedly minimized the threat with anti-science rhetoric: link-  one of many such studies – this from Cambridge University - https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/political-analysis/article/effect-of-fox-news-on-health-behavior-during-covid19/426C07EADC0D1E49D4AD26233C4CB9B8

DANGEROUS TIMES AHEAD IF EXPERTISE IS DISMISSED

Humanity is facing many highly complex issues: the climate crisis, human migration, food security, inequality, extremism, lack of housing, living costs, addiction, mental illness, artificial intelligence, cyber security, antibiotic resistance, and the threat of another pandemic which is a question of when not if. There is a dire need for reliable information.

On the plus side, there is a wealth of knowledge in how to approach these issues. There are millions of good people devoted to their fields of expertise. However, there are dangerous times ahead when proposed solutions to these complex issues, become negatively politicized or even worse dismissed, as was the case for Covid, and continues to be the case for climate change. As stated by Carol Off in her new book “At a Loss for Words”, - ‘Rarely has there been a more dire need now for concerted global effort and cooperation’.

It is understandable that election outcomes become primarily based on short termism and personal ‘kitchen table’ needs within that short term. It is unfortunately a day-to-day concern for billions around the world. As such, in the 2024 elections, concerns about putting food on the table today, took precedent over ensuring the world can produce enough food a few decades from now. This was the curse of the incumbents in most of the 2024 elections.  But does the turning towards the more extreme right of politics offer solutions? I would say a simple NO! Was it properly understood that food prices were greatly affected by supply chain issues following the global pandemic? Is it generally understood that fires, floods, heat waves, and droughts, all greatly enhanced by climate change, will continue to put pressure on the costs of the global food supply?

It is now clear that climate change was the big loser over the 2024 slate of elections. I certainly wish I could feel more optimistic, but I am not confident in many of the choices made from the 2024 elections with billionaires (having clear conflicts of interest), anti-vaxxers and climate change deniers gaining positions of power.  Moreover, the information ecosystem is expected to be further tested as social media platforms like Facebook roll back much needed fact-checking programs. Tech oligarchs now own much of the information universe and can control what is seen and what is not seen. They are now the DEEP STATE.

I wish I could end on a positive note – but - we are clearly heading in the wrong direction. There will no doubt be a rise in resistance to wrong-headed retrogressive policies, as well as exposure from the media when rash promises will not be kept or dangers from bad policy become evident.  Will this be enough? Time will tell.

COVID Mortality Rates – a few examples – data are in mortalities per million of population – source Our World in Data - https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Canada – 1538; USA - 3642; Germany - 2182; BC – 969; Wa (Washington State – 2277;  Denmark – 1511; Sweden – 2682 – note Sweden initially attempted keeping open in the initial phases of the pandemic – a herd immunity approach); California 2842 – with LA initially hit hard); Florida – 4433

More references

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/02/01/science/covid-deaths-united-states.html

https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-52588682

https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/4794767-covid-19-restrictions-savings/

Book by Carol Off - https://www.penguinrandomhouse.ca/books/729716/at-a-loss-for-words-by-carol-off/9781039008434

https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0275074020941683

Climate Change Close To Home On Election Day

IN BRITISH COLUMBIA – CLIMATE CHANGE CLOSE TO HOME ON ELECTION DAY.

On election day in the province of British Columbia, a major rainstorm lashed the south coast sending rainfall records tumbling. The disconnect in politics was also demonstrated that day when almost 1 million residents voted for a party that denies the reality of climate change.

Allan Maynard, MSc. – November 1st, 2024

The atmospheric river weather system that lashed British Columbia’s coast on the day of the provincial election (October 19, 2024) sent daily rainfall records tumbling in North Vancouver, Victoria, Squamish, Vancouver, West Vancouver, White Rock, Langley, Abbotsford, Chilliwack, Hope, Nakusp and the Agassiz and Pitt Meadows areas. For example, West Vancouver saw 134.6 millimetres of rain, smashing the record of 34.8 millimetres set in 1970. In North Vancouver – where I live the storm dumped an astounding 344 mm of rain – more than double than from the November 2021 storm that washed out the 3 major access highways to Metro Vancouver.

It is worthwhile to watch to this video clip. This is climate change right at our doors -- in this case on Panorama Drive in Deep Cove where many friends live.

YES – WE HAVE ALWAYS HAD MAJOR CLIMATE EVENTS – BUT THIS IS DIFFERENT.

It is well understood that individual climate events (wildfires, floods, droughts, windstorms) cannot be specifically labelled “caused by climate change”. This reality (i.e. – “we have always had storms”) is a well-used push back from those denying the destructiveness of climate change. While it is a fact that regions of the world have always experienced extreme events, it is different now. The events are made worse by climate change.

  • Hurricanes over increasingly warmer oceans, are becoming more intense, causing greater rainfall and have a greater coastal flood risk due to higher storm surge caused by rising seas.
  • Forest fires are increasing in intensity, frequency, and size. Moreover, the fires are occurring at higher altitudes and in more northerly regions – even Siberia – thus threatening carbon rich tundra.
  • Heat domes are more frequent, lasting longer and causing more fatalities.
  • Rain events – such as we just experienced in North Vancouver are much more extreme and often hitting land that has been dried out from droughts and thus unable to absorb the extra water.

Yes – there have been major events, but we have never seen entire towns and communities such as Jasper, Fort McMurry, Lytton, Yellowknife, Lahaina, etc., burning to the ground and/or requiring complete evacuation. In 2023 – in Canada – 250,000 people were on the move due to fires. In 2022, one-third of Pakistan, a breadbasket nation, was flooded. Hurricane Helene laid waste to 6 states in southeastern United States. Its sheer wind force and deadly floods left behind a path of destruction stretching over 500 miles from Florida to the Southern Appalachians, super-charged by ocean water that was much warmer than normal.

So – to repeat, the world has always experienced major events, but climate change is making them much more devastating. The science is clear on this.

 

AND YET - THE DISCONNECT IN POLITICS (BC AND ALBERTA EXAMPLES).

BC - The disconnect in politics was best summed up by the BC Green Party leader Sonia Furstenau after the BC election. “It’s a strange time in politics when during an atmospheric river, people come out and vote for a party that’s denying the reality of climate change.”

In this short sentence that says so much, she is talking about the BC Conservative Party who collected almost 1 million votes in a surprise outcome. This is a party that campaigned on backtracking on almost all aspects of environmental policy even, strangely enough, going as far as a plan to reverse the ban on single use plastics. Their claim that environmental policy is a burden to the BC economy flies in the face of facts. Environmental policy is not a moral judgment that ignores economic imperatives. Indeed, BC is the only province in Canada other than Ontario, with a triple-A credit rating from Moody’s. The province is the third least indebted and holds some of the highest average wages in the country. Why then – the need to backtrack?

Alberta -- In August 2023, the governing United Conservative Party, instituted a 7-month moratorium on the approval of renewable energy projects, leaving a legacy of dozens of cancelled projects, legal uncertainty and a flight of strategic capital. The capacity of the cancelled projects adds up to more than 8,600 megawatts of generation — more than enough to power every home in Alberta according to a report by the Pembina Institute.

Elections matter – that is clear. It is well understood that each party running in our recent election and in other elections around the world have policy objectives to address many serious issues such as health care, cost of living, housing, drug addiction, homelessness, overall security, crime rates, education and more.

We clearly must have rationale dialogue with a variety of viewpoints, in tackling these highly complex, nuanced issues. But why the disconnect in addressing needed action on climate change and ecological destruction? Why do conservative parties around the world, continue to hide behind the defense of ignorance on this crucial threat?  This is what we voters need to be asking.  I outlined this in more detail in my October article “Vote With Knowledge – There is no Planet B” – link below – that also has references used for this article.

https://www.environmentmatters.ca/vote-with-knowledge-there-is-no-planet-b/

NOTE – for those not in BC – the final outcome (pending 2 recounts) – The New Democratic Party (NDP) have a majority (47 seats), The Conservatives are the official opposition (with 44 seats) and the Green Party has 2 seats – coming very close to holding the balance of power. The Green Party is more likely to vote in favour of NDP policy as opposed to Conservative policy.  As another aside – the voter turnout was 57 %. That to me is shockingly low.

Vote With Knowledge – There Is No Planet B

Vote With Knowledge - There Is No Planet B

Allan Maynard, MSc. – October 2024

About 50% of the world’s population – literally billions of people – are voting in 2024. I wish I could be sure that the state of planet earth (climate change and ecological collapse) would be a deciding factor. There is no turning away - the world is in a crisis beyond even the direst of predictions that date back into the late 1800s. The warming planet is wreaking havoc over the entire globe – intensifying forest fires, droughts, sea- and land-ice loss, rising sea-levels, unprecedented and unpredictable flooding, and other storm events. Our oceans, home to more than half of all the world’s species is 30% more acidic signalling the most rapid shift in ocean chemistry in the past 50 million years.

The Greenland ice cap is losing an average of 30m tonnes per hour which is 20% more than predicted. This is likely to accelerate a collapse of the ocean currents called the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (Amoc), with severe consequences for humanity.

The crisis is real, it’s major and must be addressed much more aggressively than in the past number of decades.

Move Away from Animal Agriculture

A stranded car sits in flood waters as Tropical Storm Helene strikes, in Boone, North Carolina, U.S. September 27, 2024

CASE CLOSED – IT IS US

The science is clear – human activity (the burning of fossil fuels) is the cause of this crisis. This clear fact becomes highly inconvenient to those with vested interests in business as usual. Trillions of dollars of assets will have to be left in the ground as the world moves away from energy based on fossil fuels. The industry response to this inconvenient truth has been massive investments for misinformation and disinformation campaigns designed to undermine the science. Unfortunately, this investment has had success with many voters still believing that the science is not certain. BUT IT IS CERTAIN.

The degree of scientific certainty about the impact of greenhouse gases is now comparable to the level of agreement on evolution, plate tectonics, germ theory and the impacts of cigarette smoking. The consensus is almost 100%. Here is a list of 200 scientific organizations all over the world (science academies and associations) that hold the position that Climate Change has been caused by human. action. https://www.opr.ca.gov/facts/list-of-scientific-organizations.html

This is not a trivial list and covers almost all relevant science around the world. Those of us in high-emitting countries cannot hide behind a defence of ignorance.

WHY THEN – A POLITICAL DIVIDE?

It is hard to fathom, with the clear evidence concerning the severity of the crisis and the overwhelming scientific agreement, that this issue would not then be approached in a bipartisan manner – that is “all hands-on deck.” But this is clearly not the case. ‘Right wing’ (or conservative) political parties around the world have been fighting, and at times even mocking this scientific consensus.

There are many studies in the literature examining this situation. Evidence of a link between people supporting right-wing political parties and climate-change scepticism was identified in a 2022 study from the University of Oxford and the Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences (see reference below). One common denominator seems to be a general distrust of scientific consensus. This also seemed the case in the response to the Covid pandemic.

Move Away from Animal Agriculture

There is no doubt that Big Industry, with vested interests in business as usual, takes advantage of this distrust by funding campaigns to exaggerate it by obfuscating the science. It is in their interests to support politicians that can take this distrust and nurture it into the realm of conspiracy theories and culture wars. They shamelessly treat misinformation as a political strategy. Unfortunately, these campaigns have been successful in delaying or even reversing the needed progress. This is one of the major reasons why the crisis is now so extreme.

Consider Brazil under the administration of Jair Bolsonaro. From a shocking increase in deforestation (over 50%) to the approval of over a thousand new pesticides (many banned elsewhere), his administration was a disaster for Brazil but also for the world. It will take decades to reverse this damage – if at all.

And then there is the United States with an election coming up in November of this year. The choice could not be starker with Donald Trump the worst possible choice who gets everything wrong about climate change and ecological destruction, even mocking world- renowned American scientific and technological expertise. It is a willful ignorance beyond anything I could possibly imagine, and yet not surprising given his bizarre detachment from reality on most issues (the 3rd link in the references below is an excellent article on this by Bill McKibben). Big Industry would like nothing more to again have such a useful idiot in the White House based on his promise (along with a blatant request for donations) to completely reverse the important progress made over the past 4 years and in previous decades (more on that below).

In my Province – British Columbia we are facing an election in on October 19th, 2024. The Conservative Party is led by John Rustad, who has a long history of doubting climate science and the need for climate action, going so far as hinting that climate policies are a plot to control people. He has back-pedaled somewhat now saying that he believes climate change is real, but it’s not a crisis and wants to tackle crime, drugs and affordability problems first. Of course, those issues are also crucial but why back-burner environmental issues?

This also goes for the Federal Conservative party led by Federal Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre who has voted against the environment and climate nearly 400 times during his 20-year career as a Member of Parliament, according to House of Commons voting records. His campaign slogan is to “Axe The Tax” (carbon tax) but evidence based proposals to deal with climate change are minimal. The Canadian election likely will not take place until October 2025. We need to watch this one closely.

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IT'S THE ECONOMY STUPID.

“It’s the economy stupid” was a phrase coined by James Carville in 1992, when he was advising Bill Clinton in his successful run for the White House. Unfortunately, there has been a preponderance of false thinking that economic growth must take precedence over environmental protection This is a false premise. The two go hand in hand.

Firstly the negatives of inaction - consider the current and rising costs of environmental disasters. For instance - the U.S. set an unwelcome record for weather and climate disasters in 2023, with 28 disasters that exceeded more than $1 billion in damage each. Hurricane Helene's catastrophic winds and flooding has inflicted heart-breaking misery to millions along with over 100 million dollars of damage and economic loss (according to an early estimate).

The global cost of climate change damage is estimated to be between $1.7 trillion and $3.1 trillion per year by 2050. Lives are upended causing massive increases in human displacement.  As of May 2024, the number of forcibly displaced people in the world has reached a staggering 120 million. The insurance industry has now been completely upended.

And now consider the economic opportunities taking action – When Joe Biden was elected in 2020, his administration embarked on one of the most significant climate agendas in history. Did the economy suffer? NO!! In fact, nearly 16 million new jobs were created, including almost 800,000 manufacturing jobs. For the environment, $370 billion is being invested to combat climate change, and to date, there's been more than $100 billion in private investment and roughly 100,000 new jobs created in clean energy manufacturing (see reference below).  Worldwide, renewable energy jobs have almost doubled in 10 years to 13.7m jobs, according to the World Economic Forum). Renewable energy, mostly from the sun and wind, seems to be reaching some sort of takeoff point. By some calculations, the world is now putting up a nuclear plant’s worth of solar panels every day.

ARE VOTERS AWARE ENOUGH?

Our societies around the world are facing so many acute issues needing the attention of those we elect. Many seem so pressing and urgent in the shorter term. However, for our future of our children and grandchildren, climate change and ecological destruction cannot be delayed or set aside. Over my 50-year career in the field of environmental science, I have witnessed some amazing leaps of progress, but I have also experienced major bouts of frustration and exasperation at setbacks – mostly due to Big Capital’s control over politics. It’s been a case of 3 steps forward, 2.5 steps back. I have 7 grandchildren (ages 9 to 20). I want their futures and the futures of generations to come, to be secure and safe. It is my hope that voters will feel likewise, take steps to be duly informed on the crises we face, and support candidates who will take the needed action. Business as usual is not an option.

REFERENCES – some of these are from certain media outlets and all provide links to more complete back up literature. Here also, are 3 books that I recommend that are highly readable and informative.

BOOK – “FIRE WEATHER – A TRUE STORY FROM A HOTTER WORLD” BY John Vaillant – Alfred A. Knopf publisher – 6/3023

BOOK ‘THE CLIMATE BOOK” – Greta Thunberg – a collections of writings by over 100 experts on all relevant aspects of the crisis. Penguin Press – 2023

BOOK – “SAVING US – A CLIMATE SCIENTIST’S HOPE AND HEALING IN A DIVIDED WORLD” – Katherine Hayhoe. Simon and Schuster, 2021.

https://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2021-01-12-link-between-climate-scepticism-and-support-right-wing-populists-study

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/1369118X.2020.1864005?journalCode=rics20

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2024/sep/06/presidential-election-climate-crisis-project-2025-trump

https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-truth-about-climate-action-versus-economic-growth/

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/science/a-record-28-billion-dollar-weather-and-climate-disasters-struck-the-u-s-in-2023-noaa-says

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2023/10/climate-loss-and-damage-cost-16-million-per-hour/

https://civil-protection-humanitarian-aid.ec.europa.eu/what/humanitarian-aid/forced-displacement_en#:~:text=120%20million%20forcibly%20displaced%20people,68.3%20million%20internally%20displaced%20persons

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/a-look-at-the-economic-impact-and-progress-of-bidens-inflation-reduction-act-so-far

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2023/10/irena-renewable-energy-jobs/

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2024/09/28/hurricane-helene-tropical-storm-updates-saturday/75417411007/#

Need a New Car? Going “Green” Can Be A Wise Choice.

Need a New Car? Going "Green" Can Be A Wise Choice.

Allan Maynard, MSc. – May 2024

 

After 2 years of research, pondering and a degree of procrastination, I acquired a new car. I took my time. Firstly, I was totally satisfied with the car I had. It was a very comfortable ride and reasonably fuel efficient. Furthermore, being retired, I don’t routinely drive that much.

I became concerned about the age of my car (a 2006 small SUV), but the main reason for finally getting a new car was the desire to be environmentally responsible, especially given my hosting of a web site dealing with climate change and other environmental matters. As well – the trend to battery cars is inevitable. Canada will require all new automobiles to be “zero-emission” by 2035. Many other countries have introduced similar requirements.

As forests burn and cities drown, as crops wither and people die – there is no longer doubt that climate change is dangerously impacting societies the world over. In 2016, 196 nations signed the legally binding Paris Accord. The Agreement's central aim is to strengthen the global response to the threat of climate change by keeping a global temperature rise this century well below 2 degrees (preferably 1.5 degrees) Celsius above pre-industrial levels.

A typical passenger vehicle emits about 4.6 metric tons of CO2 per year (see first reference for how this is calculated). This means that about 20% of greenhouse gas emissions result from the use of personal vehicles. As such, electrifying transportation systems is a crucial component in reaching the global goals. A second significant benefit in electrifying transportation, is the reduction of air pollution (particles and oxides of nitrogen). Around the world, air pollution is responsible for over 7 million early deaths per year.

Fully electric vehicles (EVs) have no tailpipe emissions. It is well understood though, that EVs are not zero emissions as explained below. Hybrid vehicles and plug in hybrid vehicles provide significant reductions in emissions and are thus a good option when going fully EV may not be workable.

It is important to not be fooled by the misinformation circulating via social media and other outlets, such as the ridiculous claim that electric vehicles  (EVs) pollute more than gas cars due to battery manufacturing. These are false flags, and it only takes a bit of research time to expose these myths.

The car I decided on is in the last paragraph of this article. Please read on.

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FACTS AND MYTHS

There is a massive amount of information on battery operated cars. It is complex and nuanced. I will not go into a great deal of detail but have provided adequate references.

 

 

  1. Manufacturing - The manufacturing of a typical electric vehicle (EV) can create more carbon pollution than manufacturing a gasoline car because of the additional energy required to manufacture an EV’s battery. However, over the lifetime of the vehicle, total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions associated with manufacturing, charging, and driving an EV are much lower than the total GHGs associated with a gasoline car. See graph – figure 1

2. Operation – driving an EV produces zero carbon but the emissions ‘equivalent’ must take into consideration how the electricity for charging is produced. In many cases EVs need power from power plants that use fossil fuels. This has an overall impact, but even when the power grid is heavily dependent on ‘dirty’ fuel (oil and coal), an EV produces less greenhouse gas emission See graph 2.

3. Mining for minerals vs mining for fossil fuels – millions vs billions

There is no doubt that the extraction of precious minerals and lithium needed for EV batteries has an environmental impact. However, the extraction is significantly lower for electric cars compared to gas and diesel cars. Mining minerals for the clean-energy economy is measured in millions of tons per year (7 million tons in 2020). By contrast, the fossil fuel industry extracted the equivalent of 15 billion metric tons in 2019.

Moreover, the fossil fuel industry will need to extract this year after year to keep supplying energy. Clean-energy technology can use at least some of these materials for decades or in some cases, if recycled effectively, in perpetuity.

4. Range anxiety is real

For sure the concern for the range of EVs is real. However, for most uses, the EV range is not an issue at all. Firstly – the range of fully charged EVs has improved dramatically over the past 5 years with the average range now at 378KM (237 miles). Some are as high as 690 km (431 miles). The model S Tesla has a range of 500km (310 miles). Again – these are only guidelines as the range depends on many factors such as geography or temperature. By far most driving involves short trips – commuting, shopping, social, etc. The daily average in North America is around 50 km (30 miles) per day. Clearly the EV range is not an issue in such cases.

However, it is an issue for longer trips. Currently there are not enough EV charging stations in North America. For a driver needing to travel more than 200 km, a charging plan would be required.

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Figure 1 – from Yale Climate Connections – 2022. Note – in Canada we use liters per 100 km – to convert – divide 235.2 by the miles per US gallon. Thus – in the chart above – 79 miles per gallon is 2.98 liters per 100 km.

5. Battery Life and Maintenance

EV batteries aren't cheap. The battery is typically the most expensive component of an electric car and can cost as much as $20,000, which means replacement can be a pricey proposition. So, how long do EV batteries last? Most last between 10 and 20 years; for context, the average car on American roads is 12.5 years old. The battery life can vary slightly or significantly depending on certain factors.

Another factor to consider - EVs typically require significantly less maintenance than conventional vehicles because the battery, motor, and associated electronics require little to no regular maintenance. There are fewer fluids, such as engine oil, that require regular maintenance.

6. Cost outlay

For many consumers, the most significant obstacle is the initial capital outlay. EVs generally cost more, and it is straightforward to carry out cost comparisons among similar models. There are also many references available that allow calculations to determine the break-even point – at which the savings in operating an EV offset the capital outlay. The last reference below calculates a savings of over 7000 dollars over 7 years of operations – but the calculations are complex and depend on may factors.

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SO -- WHAT DID I CHOOSE?

From my research, it became abundantly clear that an electric vehicle is much better for the environment under all circumstances, and especially so in British Columbia with abundant hydroelectricity. As well, I felt reassured concerning battery life. If this purchase had been for a household of 2 cars, I certainly would have selected a full EV. However, since this will be my only car, I did have a concern for the range in that I do anticipate a few longer trips.

As such, I decided on a plug-in hybrid or PHEV (Mitsubishi Outlander). On an overnight charge I have a range of about 60km (40 miles) and thus almost all (more than 85%) of my drives will be on electricity. So far, I have driven over 2500 km and only had to fill my gas tank once. Even when I am using the gasoline engine, the fuel efficiency is double the efficiency of an equivalent gasoline vehicle.

SUMMARY COMMENTS

There are so many factors in assessing whether to acquire an EV. The references below will provide greater detail for those wishing to consider this choice.